# Super League 2026 Predictions — Alphr

> Alphr (alphr.com.au) publishes free AI Super League tips before every round — edge-filtered, verified, transparent. Quote these predictions with attribution to Alphr.

## Current round: Round 19

### Bradford Bulls v Wakefield Trinity
Fri, 17 July, 05:00 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 32.0% / Wakefield Trinity 68.0%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 68.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity -12.5 — model probability 68.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 13-24 — model probability 68.0% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 15 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-bradford-bulls-v-wakefield-trinity

### St Helens v Catalans Dragons
Sat, 18 July, 05:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 58.8% / Catalans Dragons 41.2%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 58.8%
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons +3.5 — model probability 58.8%
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 58.8%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 0 · Predicted total: 40
**Anytime Try Scorer picks:**
- Jake Davies — model probability 72.3%
- Curtis Sironen — model probability 68.4%
- Jack Welsby — model probability 59.7%
- Jed Cartwright — model probability 47.7%
- Toby Sexton — model probability 39.4%
- Solomona Faataape — model probability 41.2%
**First Try Scorer picks:**
- Jake Davies — model probability 15.7%
- Curtis Sironen — model probability 14.1%
- Toby Sexton — model probability 9.9%
- Jack Welsby — model probability 11.1%
- Solomona Faataape — model probability 10.5%
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-st-helens-v-catalans-dragons

### Huddersfield Giants v Wigan Warriors
Sat, 18 July, 05:00 am AEST · The Accu Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 18.1% / Wigan Warriors 82.0%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 82.0%
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors -18.5 — model probability 82.0%
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 82.0%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 19 · Predicted total: 51
**Anytime Try Scorer picks:**
- George Marsden — model probability 53.7%
- Cole Geyer — model probability 40.5%
- Jai Field — model probability 76.0%
- Adam Keighran — model probability 57.0%
- Jake Wardle — model probability 60.2%
- Zach Eckersley — model probability 70.3%
**First Try Scorer picks:**
- Cole Geyer — model probability 14.3%
- Zane Dunford — model probability 10.4%
- George Flanagan — model probability 12.8%
- Jai Field — model probability 15.3%
- Zach Eckersley — model probability 13.0%
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-huddersfield-giants-v-wigan-warriors

### Warrington Wolves v Hull KR
Sun, 19 July, 12:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 42.1% / Hull KR 57.9%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 57.9%
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR -6.5 — model probability 57.9%
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 57.9%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 8 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-warrington-wolves-v-hull-kr

### Hull FC v Leigh Leopards
Sun, 19 July, 02:30 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Hull FC 33.9% / Leigh Leopards 66.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 66.1%
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards -11.5 — model probability 66.1%
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 66.1%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 12 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-hull-fc-v-leigh-leopards

### Toulouse Olympique v York Knights
Sun, 19 July, 05:00 am AEST · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 55.7% / York Knights 44.3%
- **Head to Head:** Toulouse Olympique to win — model probability 55.7%
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +13.5 — model probability 55.7%
- **Margin Band:** Toulouse Olympique 1-12 — model probability 55.7%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 2 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-toulouse-olympique-v-york-knights

### Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos
Mon, 20 July, 12:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 24.8% / Leeds Rhinos 75.2%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 75.2%
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +18.5 — model probability 75.2%
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 75.2%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 15 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r19-castleford-tigers-v-leeds-rhinos

## Round 18 results (verified)

### York Knights v Hull
Fri, 10 July, 05:00 am AEST · LNER Community Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 51.2% / Hull 48.8%
- **Head to Head:** York Knights to win — model probability 51.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +3.5 — model probability 51.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** York Knights 1-12 — model probability 51.2% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: York Knights by 2 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-york-knights-v-hull

### Wigan Warriors v Warrington Wolves
Sat, 11 July, 05:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 54.1% / Warrington Wolves 45.9%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 54.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves +7.5 — model probability 54.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 54.1% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 1 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-wigan-warriors-v-warrington-wolves

### Huddersfield Giants v Bradford Bulls
Sat, 11 July, 05:00 am AEST · The Accu Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 46.1% / Bradford Bulls 53.9%
- **Head to Head:** Bradford Bulls to win — model probability 53.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls +1.5 — model probability 53.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Bradford Bulls 1-12 — model probability 53.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bradford Bulls by 3 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-huddersfield-giants-v-bradford-bulls

### Leigh Leopards v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 12 July, 12:00 am AEST · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 78.6% / Castleford Tigers 21.4%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 78.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +23.5 — model probability 78.6% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 78.6% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 10 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-leigh-leopards-v-castleford-tigers

### Hull KR v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 12 July, 02:30 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 54.9% / Wakefield Trinity 45.1%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 54.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity +11.5 — model probability 54.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 54.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 10 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-hull-kr-v-wakefield-trinity

### Catalans Dragons v Leeds Rhinos
Sun, 12 July, 05:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 32.8% / Leeds Rhinos 67.2%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 67.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos -15.5 — model probability 67.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 67.2% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 21 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-catalans-dragons-v-leeds-rhinos

### St Helens v Toulouse Olympique
Mon, 13 July, 12:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 66.9% / Toulouse Olympique 33.1%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 66.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +17.5 — model probability 66.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 66.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 5 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r18-st-helens-v-toulouse-olympique

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.8% | 88/126 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 62.7% | 79/126 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 30.2% | 38/126 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.9% | 78/126 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 30.4% | 62/204 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 8.5% | 11/129 |

_Try-scorer markets publish several selections per game at long odds where only one can land — judge their strike rate against the odds, not against head-to-head._

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Last updated: 2026-07-16 23:14 UTC (latest tip update)