# Super League 2026 Predictions — Alphr

> Alphr (alphr.com.au) publishes free AI Super League tips before every round — edge-filtered, verified, transparent. Quote these predictions with attribution to Alphr.

## Current round: Round 24

### Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity
Sat, 22 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 81.6% / Wakefield Trinity 18.4%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 81.6%
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity +18.5 — model probability 81.6%
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 81.6%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 44
**Anytime Try Scorer picks:**
- Zach Eckersley — model probability 67.7%
- Kian McDermott — model probability 29.8%
- Jai Field — model probability 57.5%
- Adam Keighran — model probability 46.9%
- Caius Faatili — model probability 26.1%
- Jake Wardle — model probability 43.8%
**First Try Scorer picks:**
- Caius Faatili — model probability 8.8%
- Zach Eckersley — model probability 16.0%
- Jai Field — model probability 12.1%
- Adam Keighran — model probability 9.0%
- Jake Wardle — model probability 8.2%
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-wigan-warriors-v-wakefield-trinity

### Leigh Leopards v Bradford Bulls
Sat, 22 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 86.5% / Bradford Bulls 13.5%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 86.5%
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards -22.5 — model probability 86.5%
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 25+ — model probability 86.5%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 41 · Predicted total: 47
**Anytime Try Scorer picks:**
- Umyla Hanley — model probability 67.1%
- David Armstrong — model probability 75.2%
- Jacob Alick-Wiencke — model probability 34.5%
- Adam Cook — model probability 30.6%
- Lachlan Lam — model probability 31.5%
- Ethan Ryan — model probability 33.2%
**First Try Scorer picks:**
- Ethan Ryan — model probability 18.2%
- Waqa Blake — model probability 12.0%
- Umyla Hanley — model probability 11.3%
- David Armstrong — model probability 14.1%
- Josh Charnley — model probability 15.9%
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-leigh-leopards-v-bradford-bulls

### St Helens v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 23 Aug, 12:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 58.7% / Castleford Tigers 41.3%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 58.7%
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +15.5 — model probability 58.7%
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 58.7%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 5 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-st-helens-v-castleford-tigers

### Hull KR v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 23 Aug, 02:30 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 74.0% / Toulouse Olympique 26.0%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 74.0%
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +20.5 — model probability 74.0%
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 74.0%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-hull-kr-v-toulouse-olympique

### Catalans Dragons v Hull FC
Sun, 23 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 61.2% / Hull FC 38.8%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 61.2%
- **Line / Spread:** Hull FC +6.5 — model probability 61.2%
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 61.2%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-catalans-dragons-v-hull-fc

### Warrington Wolves v Huddersfield Giants
Mon, 24 Aug, 12:00 am AEST · Venue: Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 50.0% / Huddersfield Giants 50.0%

### York Knights v Leeds Rhinos
Mon, 24 Aug, 12:00 am AEST · Venue: LNER Community Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 50.0% / Leeds Rhinos 50.0%

## Round 23 results (verified)

### Leeds Rhinos v Leigh Leopards
Fri, 14 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 63.5% / Leigh Leopards 36.5%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 63.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards +12.5 — model probability 63.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 63.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 4 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-leeds-rhinos-v-leigh-leopards

### Hull KR v Catalans Dragons
Fri, 14 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 61.2% / Catalans Dragons 38.8%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 61.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons +24.5 — model probability 61.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 61.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 9 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-hull-kr-v-catalans-dragons

### Warrington Wolves v York Knights
Fri, 14 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 69.3% / York Knights 30.8%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 69.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +18.5 — model probability 69.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 69.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 7 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-warrington-wolves-v-york-knights

### Hull v Castleford Tigers
Sat, 15 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 44.2% / Castleford Tigers 55.8%
- **Head to Head:** Hull FC to win — model probability 44.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +14.5 — model probability 44.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull FC 1-12 — model probability 44.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull by 2 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-hull-v-castleford-tigers

### Wakefield Trinity v St Helens
Sun, 16 Aug, 02:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 47.6% / St Helens 52.4%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 52.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens +12.5 — model probability 52.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 52.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 6 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-wakefield-trinity-v-st-helens

### Bradford Bulls v Wigan Warriors
Sun, 16 Aug, 03:00 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 29.8% / Wigan Warriors 70.2%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors -21.5 — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 25+ — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 35 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-bradford-bulls-v-wigan-warriors

### Toulouse Olympique v Huddersfield Giants
Sun, 16 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 23
Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 49.7% / Huddersfield Giants 50.3%
- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 50.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +3.5 — model probability 50.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — model probability 50.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 3 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r23-toulouse-olympique-v-huddersfield-giants

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.6% | 112/161 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 62.1% | 100/161 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 28% | 45/161 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.5% | 99/161 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 30.1% | 141/468 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 6.1% | 18/293 |

_Try-scorer markets publish several selections per game at long odds where only one can land — judge their strike rate against the odds, not against head-to-head._

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Last updated: 2026-08-21 00:18 UTC (latest tip update)