# Super League 2026 Predictions — Alphr

> Alphr (alphr.com.au) publishes free AI Super League tips before every round — edge-filtered, verified, transparent. Quote these predictions with attribution to Alphr.

## Season 2026 to date
- Predictions settled: 747 (316W–397L)
- Strike rate: 44.3%

## Current round: Round 17

### Huddersfield Giants v York Knights
Sat, 04 July, 09:30 pm AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 51.6% / York Knights 48.4%
- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 51.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +8.5 — model probability 51.6% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** York Knights 1-12 — model probability 51.6% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: York Knights by 1 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-huddersfield-giants-v-york-knights

### Hull KR v Hull FC
Sun, 05 July, 12:00 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 70.2% / Hull FC 29.8%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull FC +17.5 — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 70.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 10 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-hull-kr-v-hull-fc

### Leigh Leopards v Warrington Wolves
Sun, 05 July, 02:30 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 58.9% / Warrington Wolves 41.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 58.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves +7.5 — model probability 58.9% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 58.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 2 · Predicted total: 37
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-leigh-leopards-v-warrington-wolves

### Catalans Dragons v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 05 July, 06:00 am AEST · TBC · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 64.1% / Toulouse Olympique 35.9%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +12.5 — model probability 64.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 6 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-catalans-dragons-v-toulouse-olympique

### Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 05 July, 09:30 pm AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 50.6% / Castleford Tigers 49.4%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 50.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +14.5 — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-wakefield-trinity-v-castleford-tigers

### Leeds Rhinos v Bradford Bulls
Mon, 06 July, 12:00 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 72.0% / Bradford Bulls 28.0%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 72.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls +26.5 — model probability 72.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 72.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 55.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 11 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-leeds-rhinos-v-bradford-bulls

### Wigan Warriors v St Helens
Mon, 06 July, 02:30 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 52.7% / St Helens 47.3%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 52.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens +12.5 — model probability 52.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 52.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 0 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-wigan-warriors-v-st-helens

## Round 16 results (verified)

### Warrington Wolves v Catalans Dragons
Fri, 26 June, 05:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 72.8% / Catalans Dragons 27.2%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons +10.5 — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-warrington-wolves-v-catalans-dragons

### Leeds Rhinos v Hull KR
Sat, 27 June, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 65.0% / Hull KR 35.0%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 65.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR +6.5 — model probability 65.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 65.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 1 · Predicted total: 35
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-leeds-rhinos-v-hull-kr

### Castleford Tigers v York Knights
Sat, 27 June, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 56.1% / York Knights 43.9%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +16.5 — model probability 56.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 1 · Predicted total: 37
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-castleford-tigers-v-york-knights

### Hull v Wigan Warriors
Sun, 28 June, 12:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 20.7% / Wigan Warriors 79.3%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 79.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull +25.5 — model probability 79.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 79.3% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 56.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 7 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-hull-v-wigan-warriors

### Toulouse Olympique v Leigh Leopards
Sun, 28 June, 01:00 am AEST · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 27.9% / Leigh Leopards 72.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 72.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +16.5 — model probability 72.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 72.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 11 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-toulouse-olympique-v-leigh-leopards

### Bradford Bulls v St Helens
Sun, 28 June, 05:00 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 36.7% / St Helens 63.3%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 63.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls +10.5 — model probability 63.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 63.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 7 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-bradford-bulls-v-st-helens

### Wakefield Trinity v Huddersfield Giants
Mon, 29 June, 12:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 87.4% / Huddersfield Giants 12.6%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 87.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +18.5 — model probability 87.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 13-24 — model probability 87.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 55.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 17 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-wakefield-trinity-v-huddersfield-giants

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.2% | 84/118 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 61% | 72/118 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 28.8% | 34/118 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 59.3% | 70/118 |

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Last updated: 2026-07-07 04:40 UTC