# Tonga vs Samoa Prediction & Tips | Rugby League World Cup Round 3 2026

**Kick-off:** Sun, 01 Nov, 08:05 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium

**Model pick:** pending until both 17s are named

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every game of the 2026 Rugby League World Cup, published once both 17s are named and never edited. No bookmaker prices are used in the model.

## Head to head

Every full international since 2008: Tonga 2 wins, Samoa 5 (7 played).

- 26 Oct 2025 · Pacific Championships: Tonga 6-34 Samoa
- 7 Nov 2022 · World Cup Quarter Finals: Tonga 18-20 Samoa
- 23 June 2018 · Test: Samoa 22-38 Tonga
- 4 Nov 2017 · World Cup Round 2: Tonga 32-18 Samoa
- 7 May 2016 · Test: Tonga 6-18 Samoa

[Tonga (Mate Ma'a Tonga) squad & fixtures](https://alphr.com.au/rugby-league-world-cup/teams/tonga) · [Samoa (Toa Samoa) squad & fixtures](https://alphr.com.au/rugby-league-world-cup/teams/samoa)

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/rugby-league-world-cup/match/2026-r3-tonga-v-samoa
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-10-11 00:44 UTC