# NRL Round 8 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 8 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 8 at a glance
- 8 matches · 13W–19L on 32 settled picks (41% strike rate) · best value +28.3% edge

## Round 8 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wests Tigers v Raiders | Wests Tigers @ $1.52 | Wests Tigers 56% | WON |
| Cowboys v Sharks | Cowboys @ $1.98 | Cowboys 51% | WON |
| Broncos v Bulldogs | Bulldogs @ $1.54 | Bulldogs 64% | LOST |
| Dragons v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.18 | Roosters 66% | WON |
| Warriors v Dolphins | Warriors @ $1.50 | Warriors 63% | WON |
| Storm v Rabbitohs | Storm @ $1.64 | Storm 63% | LOST |
| Knights v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.21 | Panthers 65% | WON |
| Sea Eagles v Eels | Sea Eagles @ $1.43 | Sea Eagles 62% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Wests Tigers v Raiders
Thu, 23 Apr, 07:50 pm AEST · Leichhardt Oval · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 56.2% / Raiders 43.8%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.52 (edge -6.2%) — model probability 56.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 5 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-wests-tigers-v-raiders

### Cowboys v Sharks
Fri, 24 Apr, 06:00 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 51.4% / Sharks 48.6%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.98 (edge +2.9%) — model probability 51.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sharks Draw @ $8.00 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 0 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-cowboys-v-sharks

### Broncos v Bulldogs
Fri, 24 Apr, 08:00 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 36.2% / Bulldogs 63.8%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.54 (edge +2.1%) — model probability 63.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 5 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-broncos-v-bulldogs

### Dragons v Roosters
Sat, 25 Apr, 04:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 33.6% / Roosters 66.4%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.18 (edge -13.7%) — model probability 66.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +16.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 7 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-dragons-v-roosters

### Warriors v Dolphins
Sat, 25 Apr, 06:05 pm AEST · Hnry Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 62.9% / Dolphins 37.1%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.50 (edge -50.0%) — model probability 62.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 5 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-warriors-v-dolphins

### Storm v Rabbitohs
Sat, 25 Apr, 08:10 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 63.4% / Rabbitohs 36.6%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.64 (edge +5.4%) — model probability 63.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 6 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-storm-v-rabbitohs

### Knights v Panthers
Sun, 26 Apr, 02:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 34.6% / Panthers 65.4%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.21 (edge -13.2%) — model probability 65.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 7 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-knights-v-panthers

### Sea Eagles v Eels
Sun, 26 Apr, 04:05 pm AEST · 4 Pines Park · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 62.2% / Eels 37.8%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.43 (edge -4.4%) — model probability 62.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 9 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r8-sea-eagles-v-eels

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 66.9% | 101/151 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.3% | 76/151 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.6% | 32/148 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.6% | 87/151 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.9% | 349/945 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.5% | 33/595 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/7 (markdown: /nrl/round/7.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/9 (markdown: /nrl/round/9.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-04-26 08:13 UTC (latest tip update)