# NRL Round 7 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 7 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 7 at a glance
- 8 matches · 14W–18L on 32 settled picks (44% strike rate) · best value +41.0% edge

## Round 7 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys v Sea Eagles | Cowboys @ $1.59 | Cowboys 59% | LOST |
| Raiders v Storm | Storm @ $1.75 | Storm 54% | LOST |
| Dolphins v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.18 | Panthers 64% | WON |
| Warriors v Titans | Warriors @ $1.32 | Warriors 60% | WON |
| Rabbitohs v Dragons | Rabbitohs @ $1.22 | Rabbitohs 62% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Broncos | Wests Tigers @ $1.52 | Wests Tigers 52% | LOST |
| Roosters v Knights | Roosters @ $1.29 | Roosters 60% | WON |
| Eels v Bulldogs | Bulldogs @ $1.21 | Bulldogs 64% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Cowboys v Sea Eagles
Thu, 16 Apr, 07:50 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 58.6% / Sea Eagles 41.4%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.59 (edge -1.2%) — model probability 58.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-cowboys-v-sea-eagles

### Raiders v Storm
Fri, 17 Apr, 06:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 46.2% / Storm 53.8%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.75 (edge -80.0%) — model probability 53.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 4 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-raiders-v-storm

### Dolphins v Panthers
Fri, 17 Apr, 08:05 pm AEST · TIO Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 36.0% / Panthers 64.0%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.18 (edge -16.6%) — model probability 64.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins +14.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 12 · Predicted total: 53
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-dolphins-v-panthers

### Warriors v Titans
Sat, 18 Apr, 03:00 pm AEST · Go Media Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 59.8% / Titans 40.2%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.32 (edge -12.4%) — model probability 59.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +10.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-warriors-v-titans

### Rabbitohs v Dragons
Sat, 18 Apr, 05:30 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 61.9% / Dragons 38.1%
- **Head to Head:** Rabbitohs to win @ $1.22 (edge -15.8%) — model probability 61.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 10 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-rabbitohs-v-dragons

### Wests Tigers v Broncos
Sat, 18 Apr, 07:35 pm AEST · Campbelltown Sports Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 52.0% / Broncos 48.0%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.52 (edge -10.4%) — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 3 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-wests-tigers-v-broncos

### Roosters v Knights
Sun, 19 Apr, 02:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 60.1% / Knights 39.9%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.29 (edge -13.7%) — model probability 60.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +11.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 9 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-roosters-v-knights

### Eels v Bulldogs
Sun, 19 Apr, 04:05 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 36.0% / Bulldogs 64.0%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.21 (edge -14.6%) — model probability 64.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 7 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r7-eels-v-bulldogs

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 66.4% | 95/143 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 49.7% | 71/143 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 20.7% | 29/140 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.3% | 82/143 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 37.1% | 327/881 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.8% | 32/555 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/6 (markdown: /nrl/round/6.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/8 (markdown: /nrl/round/8.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/7
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-14 13:42 UTC