# NRL Round 6 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 6 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 6 at a glance
- 8 matches · 13W–19L on 32 settled picks (41% strike rate) · best value +47.6% edge

## Round 6 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.14 | Panthers 69% | LOST |
| Dragons v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles @ $1.41 | Sea Eagles 59% | WON |
| Broncos v Cowboys | Broncos @ $1.67 | Broncos 57% | LOST |
| Rabbitohs v Raiders | Raiders @ $2.52 | Raiders 53% | WON |
| Sharks v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.85 | Roosters 55% | WON |
| Storm v Warriors | Storm @ $1.36 | Storm 60% | LOST |
| Eels v Titans | Eels @ $1.67 | Eels 52% | LOST |
| Wests Tigers v Knights | Knights @ $2.23 | Knights 52% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Bulldogs v Panthers
Thu, 09 Apr, 07:50 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 30.6% / Panthers 69.4%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.14 (edge -14.1%) — model probability 69.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +16.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 6 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-bulldogs-v-panthers

### Dragons v Sea Eagles
Fri, 10 Apr, 06:00 pm AEST · WIN Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 41.4% / Sea Eagles 58.6%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.41 (edge -8.7%) — model probability 58.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 2 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-dragons-v-sea-eagles

### Broncos v Cowboys
Fri, 10 Apr, 08:00 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 56.9% / Cowboys 43.1%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.67 (edge -50.0%) — model probability 56.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Broncos 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 3 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-broncos-v-cowboys

### Rabbitohs v Raiders
Sat, 11 Apr, 01:00 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 47.4% / Raiders 52.6%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $2.52 (edge +14.8%) — model probability 52.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 2 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-rabbitohs-v-raiders

### Sharks v Roosters
Sat, 11 Apr, 03:30 pm AEST · Optus Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 44.9% / Roosters 55.1%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.85 (edge +3.2%) — model probability 55.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 2 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-sharks-v-roosters

### Storm v Warriors
Sat, 11 Apr, 07:35 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 60.2% / Warriors 39.8%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.36 (edge -9.9%) — model probability 60.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 6 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-storm-v-warriors

### Eels v Titans
Sun, 12 Apr, 02:00 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 52.4% / Titans 47.6%
- **Head to Head:** Eels to win @ $1.67 (edge -4.5%) — model probability 52.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Eels 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Eels by 2 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-eels-v-titans

### Wests Tigers v Knights
Sun, 12 Apr, 04:05 pm AEST · Campbelltown Sports Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 48.0% / Knights 52.0%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $2.23 (edge +9.3%) — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 3 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r6-wests-tigers-v-knights

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 67.4% | 91/135 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.4% | 68/135 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.1% | 28/133 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.8% | 78/135 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/5 (markdown: /nrl/round/5.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/7 (markdown: /nrl/round/7.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/6
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-07 19:47 UTC