# NRL Round 27 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 27 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 27 at a glance
- 8 matches · 13W–19L on 32 settled picks (41% strike rate) · best value +7.1% edge

## Round 27 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs v Broncos | Bulldogs @ $1.38 | Bulldogs 76% | LOST |
| Titans v Dolphins | Dolphins @ $1.24 | Dolphins 72% | WON |
| Rabbitohs v Roosters | Rabbitohs @ $1.10 | Rabbitohs 74% | WON |
| Warriors v Sea Eagles | Warriors @ $1.31 | Warriors 72% | WON |
| Cowboys v Raiders | Cowboys @ $1.53 | Cowboys 63% | LOST |
| Sharks v Storm | Storm @ $1.36 | Storm 71% | WON |
| Dragons v Eels | Eels @ $1.70 | Eels 54% | LOST |
| Panthers v Wests Tigers | Panthers @ $1.10 | Panthers 77% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Bulldogs v Broncos
Thu, 03 Sept, 07:50 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 76.0% / Broncos 24.0%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.38 (edge +7.1%) — model probability 76.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 12 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-bulldogs-v-broncos

### Titans v Dolphins
Fri, 04 Sept, 06:00 pm AEST · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 27.6% / Dolphins 72.4%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.24 (edge -4.4%) — model probability 72.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 57.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 11 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-titans-v-dolphins

### Rabbitohs v Roosters
Fri, 04 Sept, 08:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 73.6% / Roosters 26.4%
- **Head to Head:** Rabbitohs to win @ $1.10 (edge -12.8%) — model probability 73.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters +21.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 12 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-rabbitohs-v-roosters

### Warriors v Sea Eagles
Sat, 05 Sept, 03:00 pm AEST · Go Media Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 72.0% / Sea Eagles 28.0%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.31 (edge -0.6%) — model probability 72.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles +10.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-warriors-v-sea-eagles

### Cowboys v Raiders
Sat, 05 Sept, 05:30 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 62.5% / Raiders 37.5%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.53 (edge +0.4%) — model probability 62.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 6 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-cowboys-v-raiders

### Sharks v Storm
Sat, 05 Sept, 07:35 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 29.4% / Storm 70.6%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.36 (edge +0.7%) — model probability 70.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 12 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-sharks-v-storm

### Dragons v Eels
Sun, 06 Sept, 02:00 pm AEST · WIN Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 45.5% / Eels 54.5%
- **Head to Head:** Eels to win @ $1.70 (edge -1.5%) — model probability 54.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Eels -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Eels 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 55.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Eels by 4 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-dragons-v-eels

### Panthers v Wests Tigers
Sun, 06 Sept, 04:05 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 77.1% / Wests Tigers 22.9%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.10 (edge -9.3%) — model probability 77.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers +19.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 13 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r27-panthers-v-wests-tigers

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 65.2% | 135/207 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 51.2% | 106/207 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 23% | 47/204 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 55.1% | 114/207 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 37.1% | 515/1390 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.5% | 48/876 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/26 (markdown: /nrl/round/26.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/28 (markdown: /nrl/round/28.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/27
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-09-06 08:03 UTC (latest tip update)