# NRL Round 24 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 24 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 24 at a glance
- 8 matches · 15W–17L on 32 settled picks (47% strike rate) · best value +3.8% edge

## Round 24 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers v Roosters | Panthers @ $1.50 | Panthers 60% | LOST |
| Sea Eagles v Dolphins | Dolphins @ $1.35 | Dolphins 72% | WON |
| Bulldogs v Rabbitohs | Bulldogs @ $1.57 | Bulldogs 60% | LOST |
| Sharks v Raiders | Sharks @ $1.31 | Sharks 76% | LOST |
| Eels v Cowboys | Cowboys @ $1.54 | Cowboys 55% | LOST |
| Broncos v Warriors | Warriors @ $1.42 | Warriors 67% | WON |
| Knights v Titans | Knights @ $1.22 | Knights 70% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Dragons | Wests Tigers @ $1.93 | Wests Tigers 54% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Panthers v Roosters
Thu, 13 Aug, 07:50 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 60.3% / Roosters 39.7%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.50 (edge -3.1%) — model probability 60.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 5 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-panthers-v-roosters

### Sea Eagles v Dolphins
Fri, 14 Aug, 06:00 pm AEST · Brookvale Oval · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 27.7% / Dolphins 72.3%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.35 (edge +1.7%) — model probability 72.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 13 · Predicted total: 55
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-sea-eagles-v-dolphins

### Bulldogs v Rabbitohs
Fri, 14 Aug, 08:00 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 59.8% / Rabbitohs 40.2%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.57 (edge -0.8%) — model probability 59.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 4 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-bulldogs-v-rabbitohs

### Sharks v Raiders
Sat, 15 Aug, 03:00 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 75.7% / Raiders 24.3%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.31 (edge +3.1%) — model probability 75.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 14 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-sharks-v-raiders

### Eels v Cowboys
Sat, 15 Aug, 05:30 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 45.2% / Cowboys 54.8%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.54 (edge -7.0%) — model probability 54.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 2 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-eels-v-cowboys

### Broncos v Warriors
Sat, 15 Aug, 07:35 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 33.3% / Warriors 66.7%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.42 (edge -0.2%) — model probability 66.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 9 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-broncos-v-warriors

### Knights v Titans
Sun, 16 Aug, 02:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 69.9% / Titans 30.1%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.22 (edge -8.0%) — model probability 69.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Knights 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Knights by 9 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-knights-v-titans

### Wests Tigers v Dragons
Sun, 16 Aug, 04:05 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 53.6% / Dragons 46.4%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.93 (edge +3.8%) — model probability 53.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers +0.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 2 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r24-wests-tigers-v-dragons

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 64.5% | 138/214 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.5% | 108/214 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 23.2% | 49/211 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 55.6% | 119/214 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 37.3% | 539/1446 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.3% | 48/911 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/23 (markdown: /nrl/round/23.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/25 (markdown: /nrl/round/25.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-08-16 07:53 UTC (latest tip update)