# NRL Round 22 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 22 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 22 at a glance
- 8 matches

## Round 22 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys v Roosters | — | Cowboys 50% | — |
| Dragons v Dolphins | — | Dragons 50% | — |
| Storm v Bulldogs | — | Storm 50% | — |
| Titans v Warriors | — | Titans 50% | — |
| Panthers v Raiders | — | Panthers 50% | — |
| Broncos v Knights | — | Broncos 50% | — |
| Sharks v Rabbitohs | — | Sharks 50% | — |
| Wests Tigers v Eels | — | Wests Tigers 50% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Cowboys v Roosters
Thu, 30 July, 07:50 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 50.0% / Roosters 50.0%

### Dragons v Dolphins
Fri, 31 July, 06:00 pm AEST · WIN Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 50.0% / Dolphins 50.0%

### Storm v Bulldogs
Fri, 31 July, 08:00 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 50.0% / Bulldogs 50.0%

### Titans v Warriors
Sat, 01 Aug, 03:00 pm AEST · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 50.0% / Warriors 50.0%

### Panthers v Raiders
Sat, 01 Aug, 05:30 pm AEST · Glen Willow Oval · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 50.0% / Raiders 50.0%

### Broncos v Knights
Sat, 01 Aug, 07:35 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 50.0% / Knights 50.0%

### Sharks v Rabbitohs
Sun, 02 Aug, 02:00 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 50.0% / Rabbitohs 50.0%

### Wests Tigers v Eels
Sun, 02 Aug, 04:05 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 50.0% / Eels 50.0%

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 66% | 105/159 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 51.6% | 82/159 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.8% | 34/156 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 56.6% | 90/159 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.4% | 367/1009 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.7% | 36/635 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/21 (markdown: /nrl/round/21.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/22
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-26 13:21 UTC