# NRL Round 21 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 21 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 21 at a glance
- 8 matches

## Round 21 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eels v Panthers | — | Eels 50% | — |
| Knights v Roosters | — | Knights 50% | — |
| Rabbitohs v Storm | — | Rabbitohs 50% | — |
| Raiders v Wests Tigers | — | Raiders 50% | — |
| Bulldogs v Warriors | — | Bulldogs 50% | — |
| Cowboys v Broncos | — | Cowboys 50% | — |
| Dragons v Titans | — | Dragons 50% | — |
| Sea Eagles v Sharks | — | Sea Eagles 50% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Eels v Panthers
Thu, 23 July, 07:50 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 50.0% / Panthers 50.0%

### Knights v Roosters
Fri, 24 July, 06:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 50.0% / Roosters 50.0%

### Rabbitohs v Storm
Fri, 24 July, 08:00 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 50.0% / Storm 50.0%

### Raiders v Wests Tigers
Sat, 25 July, 03:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 50.0% / Wests Tigers 50.0%

### Bulldogs v Warriors
Sat, 25 July, 05:30 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 50.0% / Warriors 50.0%

### Cowboys v Broncos
Sat, 25 July, 07:35 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 50.0% / Broncos 50.0%

### Dragons v Titans
Sun, 26 July, 02:00 pm AEST · St George Venues Jubilee Stadium · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 50.0% / Titans 50.0%

### Sea Eagles v Sharks
Sun, 26 July, 04:05 pm AEST · 4 Pines Park · Round 21
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 50.0% / Sharks 50.0%

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 66.9% | 101/151 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.3% | 76/151 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.6% | 32/148 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.6% | 87/151 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.9% | 349/945 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.5% | 33/595 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/20 (markdown: /nrl/round/20.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-19 21:11 UTC