# NRL Round 20 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 20 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 20 at a glance
- 8 matches · 19W–13L on 32 settled picks (59% strike rate) · best value +2.9% edge

## Round 20 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers v Broncos | Panthers @ $1.20 | Panthers 76% | LOST |
| Sharks v Knights | Sharks @ $1.58 | Sharks 63% | WON |
| Roosters v Storm | Roosters @ $1.29 | Roosters 69% | WON |
| Raiders v Rabbitohs | Raiders @ $1.82 | Raiders 55% | WON |
| Warriors v Dragons | Warriors @ $1.18 | Warriors 75% | WON |
| Bulldogs v Wests Tigers | Bulldogs @ $1.50 | Bulldogs 61% | WON |
| Titans v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles @ $1.58 | Sea Eagles 60% | LOST |
| Dolphins v Cowboys | Dolphins @ $1.62 | Dolphins 57% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Panthers v Broncos
Thu, 16 July, 07:50 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 75.8% / Broncos 24.2%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.20 (edge -3.5%) — model probability 75.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +14.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 11 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-panthers-v-broncos

### Sharks v Knights
Fri, 17 July, 06:00 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 63.1% / Knights 36.9%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.58 (edge +2.9%) — model probability 63.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 6 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-sharks-v-knights

### Roosters v Storm
Fri, 17 July, 08:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 69.2% / Storm 30.8%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.29 (edge -4.6%) — model probability 69.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +11.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 11 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-roosters-v-storm

### Raiders v Rabbitohs
Sat, 18 July, 03:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 54.6% / Rabbitohs 45.4%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.82 (edge +2.0%) — model probability 54.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-raiders-v-rabbitohs

### Warriors v Dragons
Sat, 18 July, 05:35 pm AEST · Go Media Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 75.3% / Dragons 24.7%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.18 (edge -5.3%) — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +14.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 13 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-warriors-v-dragons

### Bulldogs v Wests Tigers
Sat, 18 July, 07:35 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 61.1% / Wests Tigers 38.9%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.50 (edge -2.3%) — model probability 61.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 5 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-bulldogs-v-wests-tigers

### Titans v Sea Eagles
Sun, 19 July, 02:00 pm AEST · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 40.2% / Sea Eagles 59.8%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.58 (edge -40.0%) — model probability 59.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 5 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-titans-v-sea-eagles

### Dolphins v Cowboys
Sun, 19 July, 04:05 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 56.8% / Cowboys 43.2%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.62 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 56.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 6 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-dolphins-v-cowboys

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 64.9% | 124/191 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 52.4% | 100/191 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 23.4% | 44/188 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 56.5% | 108/191 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.7% | 464/1264 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.5% | 44/796 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/19 (markdown: /nrl/round/19.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/21 (markdown: /nrl/round/21.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-19 08:02 UTC (latest tip update)