# NRL Round 19 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 19 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 19 at a glance
- 7 matches · 9W–19L on 28 settled picks (32% strike rate) · best value +15.1% edge

## Round 19 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wests Tigers v Warriors | Warriors @ $1.34 | Warriors 72% | WON |
| Dolphins v Sharks | Dolphins @ $1.56 | Dolphins 63% | LOST |
| Bulldogs v Raiders | Bulldogs @ $1.58 | Bulldogs 75% | LOST |
| Roosters v Eels | Roosters @ $1.23 | Roosters 80% | WON |
| Rabbitohs v Knights | Knights @ $1.85 | Knights 51% | LOST |
| Sea Eagles v Cowboys | Sea Eagles @ $1.53 | Sea Eagles 71% | LOST |
| Storm v Titans | Storm @ $1.34 | Storm 82% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Wests Tigers v Warriors
Fri, 10 July, 08:00 pm AEST · Campbelltown Sports Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 28.4% / Warriors 71.6%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.34 (edge +60.0%) — model probability 71.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 9 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-wests-tigers-v-warriors

### Dolphins v Sharks
Sat, 11 July, 03:00 pm AEST · Kayo Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 63.1% / Sharks 36.9%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.56 (edge +2.1%) — model probability 63.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 9 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-dolphins-v-sharks

### Bulldogs v Raiders
Sat, 11 July, 05:30 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 75.3% / Raiders 24.7%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.58 (edge +15.1%) — model probability 75.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 6 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-bulldogs-v-raiders

### Roosters v Eels
Sat, 11 July, 07:35 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 80.1% / Eels 19.9%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.23 (edge +2.7%) — model probability 80.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 12 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-roosters-v-eels

### Rabbitohs v Knights
Sun, 12 July, 02:00 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 48.7% / Knights 51.3%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.85 (edge -40.0%) — model probability 51.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Rabbitohs +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Rabbitohs Draw @ $8.00 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-rabbitohs-v-knights

### Sea Eagles v Cowboys
Sun, 12 July, 04:05 pm AEST · 4 Pines Park · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 70.7% / Cowboys 29.3%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.53 (edge +8.6%) — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 10 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-sea-eagles-v-cowboys

### Storm v Titans
Sun, 12 July, 06:15 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 81.7% / Titans 18.3%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.34 (edge +10.7%) — model probability 81.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Storm 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 14 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r19-storm-v-titans

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 65% | 119/183 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 52.5% | 96/183 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 23.3% | 42/180 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 56.3% | 103/183 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.2% | 435/1201 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.6% | 42/756 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/18 (markdown: /nrl/round/18.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/20 (markdown: /nrl/round/20.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-12 10:03 UTC (latest tip update)