# NRL Round 15 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 15 of the 2026 season — 5 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 15 at a glance
- 5 matches · 10W–10L on 20 settled picks (50% strike rate) · best value +31.0% edge

## Round 15 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rabbitohs v Broncos | Rabbitohs @ $1.48 | Rabbitohs 66% | WON |
| Dolphins v Roosters | Dolphins @ $1.48 | Dolphins 59% | WON |
| Warriors v Sharks | Warriors @ $1.35 | Warriors 71% | LOST |
| Eels v Raiders | Raiders @ $1.67 | Raiders 54% | LOST |
| Wests Tigers v Titans | Wests Tigers @ $1.49 | Wests Tigers 58% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Rabbitohs v Broncos
Thu, 11 June, 07:50 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 65.9% / Broncos 34.1%
- **Head to Head:** Rabbitohs to win @ $1.48 (edge +1.7%) — model probability 65.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Rabbitohs -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 9 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r15-rabbitohs-v-broncos

### Dolphins v Roosters
Fri, 12 June, 08:00 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 59.0% / Roosters 41.0%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.48 (edge -5.3%) — model probability 59.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 6 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r15-dolphins-v-roosters

### Warriors v Sharks
Sat, 13 June, 05:35 pm AEST · Go Media Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 71.2% / Sharks 28.8%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.35 (edge +60.0%) — model probability 71.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 9 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r15-warriors-v-sharks

### Eels v Raiders
Sat, 13 June, 07:35 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 45.7% / Raiders 54.3%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.67 (edge -2.7%) — model probability 54.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 4 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r15-eels-v-raiders

### Wests Tigers v Titans
Sun, 14 June, 04:05 pm AEST · Leichhardt Oval · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 58.4% / Titans 41.6%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.49 (edge -5.4%) — model probability 58.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers -6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 9 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r15-wests-tigers-v-titans

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 67.1% | 102/152 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.7% | 77/152 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.1% | 33/149 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.2% | 87/152 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.8% | 351/953 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.5% | 33/600 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/14 (markdown: /nrl/round/14.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/16 (markdown: /nrl/round/16.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-14 07:55 UTC (latest tip update)