# NRL Round 14 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 14 of the 2026 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 14 at a glance
- 8 matches · 16W–16L on 32 settled picks (50% strike rate) · best value +42.1% edge

## Round 14 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs | Sea Eagles @ $1.63 | Sea Eagles 65% | WON |
| Storm v Knights | Storm @ $1.63 | Storm 67% | WON |
| Raiders v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.72 | Roosters 55% | WON |
| Cowboys v Dolphins | Dolphins @ $1.63 | Dolphins 58% | WON |
| Broncos v Titans | Broncos @ $1.44 | Broncos 66% | LOST |
| Wests Tigers v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.22 | Panthers 80% | WON |
| Sharks v Dragons | Sharks @ $1.28 | Sharks 73% | WON |
| Bulldogs v Eels | Bulldogs @ $1.52 | Bulldogs 62% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs
Thu, 04 June, 07:50 pm AEST · Pines Park · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 64.8% / Rabbitohs 35.2%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.63 (edge +6.5%) — model probability 64.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-sea-eagles-v-rabbitohs

### Storm v Knights
Fri, 05 June, 06:00 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 67.0% / Knights 33.0%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.63 (edge +8.6%) — model probability 67.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-storm-v-knights

### Raiders v Roosters
Fri, 05 June, 08:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 44.7% / Roosters 55.3%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.72 (edge +0.0%) — model probability 55.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 1 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-raiders-v-roosters

### Cowboys v Dolphins
Sat, 06 June, 05:30 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 42.5% / Dolphins 57.5%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.63 (edge -80.0%) — model probability 57.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 55.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 2 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-cowboys-v-dolphins

### Broncos v Titans
Sat, 06 June, 07:35 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 66.0% / Titans 34.1%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.44 (edge -10.0%) — model probability 66.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Broncos 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 11 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-broncos-v-titans

### Wests Tigers v Panthers
Sun, 07 June, 02:00 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 20.2% / Panthers 79.8%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.22 (edge +2.2%) — model probability 79.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 10 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-wests-tigers-v-panthers

### Sharks v Dragons
Sun, 07 June, 04:05 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 73.0% / Dragons 27.0%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.28 (edge -1.1%) — model probability 73.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -11.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 12 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-sharks-v-dragons

### Bulldogs v Eels
Mon, 08 June, 04:05 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 14
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 61.6% / Eels 38.4%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.52 (edge -90.0%) — model probability 61.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 6 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r14-bulldogs-v-eels

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 67.1% | 100/149 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.3% | 75/149 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.9% | 32/146 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 58.4% | 87/149 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 36.9% | 343/929 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.6% | 33/585 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/13 (markdown: /nrl/round/13.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/15 (markdown: /nrl/round/15.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-08 07:58 UTC (latest tip update)