# NRL Round 13 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 13 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 13 at a glance
- 7 matches · 20W–8L on 28 settled picks (71% strike rate) · best value +34.3% edge

## Round 13 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharks v Sea Eagles | Sharks @ $1.87 | Sharks 51% | WON |
| Knights v Eels | Knights @ $1.22 | Knights 74% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Bulldogs | Wests Tigers @ $1.56 | Wests Tigers 61% | WON |
| Storm v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.81 | Roosters 55% | LOST |
| Broncos v Dragons | Broncos @ $1.11 | Broncos 78% | LOST |
| Raiders v Cowboys | Raiders @ $1.70 | Raiders 61% | WON |
| Panthers v Warriors | Panthers @ $1.64 | Panthers 69% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Sharks v Sea Eagles
Thu, 28 May, 07:50 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 51.3% / Sea Eagles 48.7%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.87 (edge -10.0%) — model probability 51.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -0.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 1 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-sharks-v-sea-eagles

### Knights v Eels
Fri, 29 May, 08:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 73.6% / Eels 26.4%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.22 (edge -4.5%) — model probability 73.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +14.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Knights 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Knights by 8 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-knights-v-eels

### Wests Tigers v Bulldogs
Sat, 30 May, 05:30 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 61.4% / Bulldogs 38.6%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.56 (edge +40.0%) — model probability 61.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 7 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-wests-tigers-v-bulldogs

### Storm v Roosters
Sat, 30 May, 07:35 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 44.9% / Roosters 55.1%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.81 (edge +2.1%) — model probability 55.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 0 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-storm-v-roosters

### Broncos v Dragons
Sun, 31 May, 02:00 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 77.9% / Dragons 22.1%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.11 (edge -7.9%) — model probability 77.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +19.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Broncos 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 12 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-broncos-v-dragons

### Raiders v Cowboys
Sun, 31 May, 04:05 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 60.8% / Cowboys 39.2%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.70 (edge +4.9%) — model probability 60.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 4 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-raiders-v-cowboys

### Panthers v Warriors
Sun, 31 May, 06:10 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 69.4% / Warriors 30.6%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.64 (edge +11.5%) — model probability 69.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 5 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r13-panthers-v-warriors

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 67.6% | 92/136 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.7% | 69/136 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.1% | 28/133 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 58.1% | 79/136 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/12 (markdown: /nrl/round/12.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/14 (markdown: /nrl/round/14.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/13
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-09 03:56 UTC