# NRL Round 12 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 12 of the 2026 season — 5 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 12 at a glance
- 5 matches · 11W–9L on 20 settled picks (55% strike rate) · best value +37.9% edge

## Round 12 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders v Dolphins | Raiders @ $1.67 | Raiders 60% | LOST |
| Bulldogs v Storm | Bulldogs @ $1.75 | Bulldogs 54% | WON |
| Dragons v Warriors | Warriors @ $1.23 | Warriors 61% | WON |
| Sea Eagles v Titans | Sea Eagles @ $1.26 | Sea Eagles 63% | WON |
| Cowboys v Rabbitohs | Cowboys @ $1.70 | Cowboys 58% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Raiders v Dolphins
Thu, 21 May, 07:50 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 59.9% / Dolphins 40.1%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.67 (edge +3.0%) — model probability 59.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 3 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r12-raiders-v-dolphins

### Bulldogs v Storm
Fri, 22 May, 08:00 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 53.6% / Storm 46.4%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.75 (edge -90.0%) — model probability 53.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 2 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r12-bulldogs-v-storm

### Dragons v Warriors
Sat, 23 May, 05:30 pm AEST · Jubilee Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 38.9% / Warriors 61.1%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.23 (edge -16.4%) — model probability 61.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 53
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r12-dragons-v-warriors

### Sea Eagles v Titans
Sat, 23 May, 07:35 pm AEST · 4 Pines Park · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 63.4% / Titans 36.6%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.26 (edge -12.1%) — model probability 63.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 10 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r12-sea-eagles-v-titans

### Cowboys v Rabbitohs
Sun, 24 May, 04:05 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 58.4% / Rabbitohs 41.6%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.70 (edge +2.5%) — model probability 58.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Rabbitohs +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 1 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r12-cowboys-v-rabbitohs

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 67.7% | 90/133 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50.4% | 67/133 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 21.4% | 28/131 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.1% | 76/133 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/11 (markdown: /nrl/round/11.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/13 (markdown: /nrl/round/13.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/12
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC