# Knights v Rabbitohs — NRL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Knights v Rabbitohs
Sun, 03 May, 02:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 9

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Rabbitohs to win @ $1.73 (edge -20.0%) — model probability 54.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Rabbitohs -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 2 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 22.8pts | Avg Score | 32.8pts |
| 30.4pts | Avg Conceded | 18.8pts |
| -7.6pts | Avg Margin | 14.0pts |
| 1523.4m | Run Metres | 1790.6m |
| 4.2 | Line Breaks | 7.8 |
| 365.0 | Tackles | 299.4 |
| 10.8 | Errors | 10.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | R4 W · R5 W · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L | 22.8 |
| Rabbitohs | R3 W · R5 W · R6 L · R7 W · R8 W | 32.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-05-03 05:54 UTC (latest tip update)