# Eels v Warriors — NRL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Eels v Warriors
Sat, 02 May, 05:30 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 9

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.44 (edge -11.8%) — model probability 54.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 5 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Eels | Stat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 21.2pts | Avg Score | 24.4pts |
| 35.0pts | Avg Conceded | 24.0pts |
| -13.8pts | Avg Margin | 0.4pts |
| 1515.8m | Run Metres | 1601.2m |
| 3.8 | Line Breaks | 5.6 |
| 352.4 | Tackles | 325.6 |
| 12.4 | Errors | 10.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Eels | R4 L · R5 L · R6 L · R7 W · R8 L | 21.2 |
| Warriors | R4 L · R5 L · R6 W · R7 W · R8 W | 24.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-05-03 02:33 UTC (latest tip update)