# Dolphins v Storm — NRL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dolphins v Storm
Fri, 01 May, 08:00 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.62 (edge +3.8%) — model probability 62.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 8 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 21.6pts | Avg Score | 15.2pts |
| 26.2pts | Avg Conceded | 38.0pts |
| -4.6pts | Avg Margin | -22.8pts |
| 1822.0m | Run Metres | 1370.2m |
| 4.2 | Line Breaks | 3.8 |
| 377.6 | Tackles | 351.6 |
| 12.6 | Errors | 10.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | R3 W · R4 L · R5 L · R7 L · R8 L | 21.6 |
| Storm | R4 L · R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L | 15.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-05-01 12:28 UTC (latest tip update)