# Bulldogs v Cowboys — NRL Round 9 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Bulldogs v Cowboys
Fri, 01 May, 06:00 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 9

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.74 (edge +2.8%) — model probability 57.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 1 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Bulldogs | Stat | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 20.8pts | Avg Score | 29.4pts |
| 28.4pts | Avg Conceded | 25.4pts |
| -7.6pts | Avg Margin | 4.0pts |
| 1743.2m | Run Metres | 1900.2m |
| 5.0 | Line Breaks | 8.4 |
| 341.6 | Tackles | 323.4 |
| 13.0 | Errors | 11.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | R4 L · R5 L · R6 W · R7 L · R8 L | 20.8 |
| Cowboys | R4 W · R5 W · R6 W · R7 L · R8 W | 29.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r9-bulldogs-v-cowboys
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-05-01 09:56 UTC (latest tip update)