# Dragons v Roosters — NRL Round 8 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dragons v Roosters
Sat, 25 Apr, 04:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 8

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.18 (edge -13.7%) — model probability 66.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +16.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 7 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dragons | Stat | Roosters |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 12.8pts | Avg Score | 27.0pts |
| 28.4pts | Avg Conceded | 24.0pts |
| -15.6pts | Avg Margin | 3.0pts |
| 1695.4m | Run Metres | 1834.6m |
| 3.6 | Line Breaks | 4.8 |
| 379.4 | Tackles | 320.4 |
| 10.8 | Errors | 13.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dragons | R3 L · R4 L · R5 L · R6 L · R7 L | 12.8 |
| Roosters | R2 W · R3 L · R4 W · R6 W · R7 W | 27.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-04-25 08:04 UTC (latest tip update)