# Sharks v Warriors — NRL Round 5 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sharks v Warriors
Sun, 05 Apr, 02:00 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 5

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.57 (edge -90.0%) — model probability 59.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors +4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 4 · Predicted total: 47

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Sharks | Stat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 22.8pts | Avg Score | 28.4pts |
| 23.6pts | Avg Conceded | 18.4pts |
| -0.8pts | Avg Margin | 10.0pts |
| 1574.6m | Run Metres | 1649.2m |
| 4.2 | Line Breaks | 4.6 |
| 356.6 | Tackles | 331.2 |
| 10.0 | Errors | 11.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Sharks | R30 L · R1 W · R2 L · R3 L · R4 W | 22.8 |
| Warriors | R28 L · R1 W · R2 W · R3 W · R4 L | 28.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r5-sharks-v-warriors
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:34 UTC