# Eels v Wests Tigers — NRL Round 5 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Eels v Wests Tigers
Mon, 06 Apr, 04:05 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 5

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Eels to win @ $1.83 (edge +40.0%) — model probability 52.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 1 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Eels | Stat | Wests Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 32.0pts | Avg Score | 26.0pts |
| 32.4pts | Avg Conceded | 22.0pts |
| -0.4pts | Avg Margin | 4.0pts |
| 1628.6m | Run Metres | 1659.6m |
| 5.2 | Line Breaks | 4.6 |
| 323.2 | Tackles | 323.2 |
| 10.8 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Eels | R27 W · R1 L · R2 W · R3 W · R4 L | 32.0 |
| Wests Tigers | R26 L · R27 L · R2 W · R3 L · R4 W | 26.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r5-eels-v-wests-tigers
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 08:21 UTC