# Raiders v Sharks — NRL Round 4 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Raiders v Sharks
Sun, 29 Mar, 04:05 pm AEDT · GIO Stadium · Round 4

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.80 (edge +2.5%) — model probability 55.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 1 · Predicted total: 47

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 17.0pts | Avg Score | 22.4pts |
| 28.6pts | Avg Conceded | 21.6pts |
| -11.6pts | Avg Margin | 0.8pts |
| 1626.0m | Run Metres | 1566.0m |
| 4.2 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 382.4 | Tackles | 369.6 |
| 11.4 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | R28 L · R29 L · R1 W · R2 L · R3 L | 17.0 |
| Sharks | R29 W · R30 L · R1 W · R2 L · R3 L | 22.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r4-raiders-v-sharks
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:34 UTC