# Cowboys v Storm — NRL Round 4 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Cowboys v Storm
Sat, 28 Mar, 07:35 pm AEDT · Qld Country Bank Stadium · Round 4

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.19 (edge -11.7%) — model probability 68.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +15.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 10 · Predicted total: 53

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Cowboys | Stat | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 25.6pts | Avg Score | 32.0pts |
| 30.8pts | Avg Conceded | 14.8pts |
| -5.2pts | Avg Margin | 17.2pts |
| 1761.8m | Run Metres | 1881.6m |
| 4.2 | Line Breaks | 7.2 |
| 322.4 | Tackles | 326.2 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 8.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | R25 W · R26 L · R1 L · R2 L · R3 W | 25.6 |
| Storm | R28 W · R30 W · R1 W · R2 W · R3 L | 32.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r4-cowboys-v-storm
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 08:23 UTC