# Bulldogs v Knights — NRL Round 4 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Bulldogs v Knights
Sat, 28 Mar, 03:00 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 4

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.24 (edge -14.3%) — model probability 62.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 5 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Bulldogs | Stat | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 15.8pts | Avg Score | 20.4pts |
| 24.0pts | Avg Conceded | 35.6pts |
| -8.2pts | Avg Margin | -15.2pts |
| 1741.0m | Run Metres | 1516.0m |
| 4.0 | Line Breaks | 3.8 |
| 386.8 | Tackles | 344.2 |
| 10.0 | Errors | 10.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | R27 L · R28 L · R29 L · R1 W · R3 W | 15.8 |
| Knights | R26 L · R27 L · R1 W · R2 W · R3 L | 20.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r4-bulldogs-v-knights
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:37 UTC