# Broncos v Dolphins — NRL Round 4 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Broncos v Dolphins
Fri, 27 Mar, 08:00 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 4

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.64 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 56.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Broncos 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 3 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Broncos | Stat | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 19.0pts | Avg Score | 36.8pts |
| 24.4pts | Avg Conceded | 23.6pts |
| -5.4pts | Avg Margin | 13.2pts |
| 1671.6m | Run Metres | 1814.4m |
| 3.2 | Line Breaks | 7.0 |
| 357.8 | Tackles | 344.6 |
| 12.6 | Errors | 11.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos | R28 W · R30 W · R1 L · R2 L · R3 W | 19.0 |
| Dolphins | R26 W · R27 W · R1 L · R2 W · R3 W | 36.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r4-broncos-v-dolphins
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:34 UTC