# Knights v Warriors — NRL Round 3 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Knights v Warriors
Sat, 21 Mar, 03:00 pm AEDT · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 3

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.59 (edge -1.9%) — model probability 58.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 2 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 20.4pts | Avg Score | 27.6pts |
| 37.2pts | Avg Conceded | 20.2pts |
| -16.8pts | Avg Margin | 7.4pts |
| 1498.4m | Run Metres | 1732.2m |
| 4.0 | Line Breaks | 5.0 |
| 337.6 | Tackles | 336.4 |
| 10.4 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | R25 L · R26 L · R27 L · R1 W · R2 W | 20.4 |
| Warriors | R26 L · R27 L · R28 L · R1 W · R2 W | 27.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r3-knights-v-warriors
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 07:35 UTC