# Storm v Panthers — NRL Round 25 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Storm v Panthers?

Alphr's NRL model rates Storm a narrow 50% favourite over Panthers in Round 25 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Storm lead on ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Storm v Panthers
Thu, 20 Aug, 07:50 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 25

### Match Overview

Line ball between Storm and Panthers. The model can't split them, landing on Storm at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Storm sit 184 ELO points clear, 1731 to 1547. Form leans Storm's way: 4 from their last 5, against 3 for Panthers.

Storm own the matchup too, leading 7 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Storm | Stat | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 22.0pts | Avg Score | 24.0pts |
| 15.6pts | Avg Conceded | 19.2pts |
| 6.4pts | Avg Margin | 4.8pts |
| 1705.8m | Run Metres | 1545.8m |
| 3.4 | Line Breaks | 5.8 |
| 362.0 | Tackles | 338.8 |
| 10.2 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Storm | 4W–1L | 22.0 |
| Panthers | 3W–2L | 24.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-17 14:58 UTC (latest tip update)