# Rabbitohs v Warriors — NRL Round 25 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Rabbitohs v Warriors?

Alphr's NRL model rates Rabbitohs a narrow 50% favourite over Warriors in Round 25 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Rabbitohs lead on Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Referee Tendency.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Rabbitohs v Warriors
Sat, 22 Aug, 05:30 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 25

### Match Overview

Line ball between Rabbitohs and Warriors. The model can't split them, landing on Rabbitohs at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Warriors sit 76 ELO points clear, 1403 to 1327.

The factors split evenly, which is why the margin stays tight. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Rabbitohs | Stat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 15.2pts | Avg Score | 20.0pts |
| 27.6pts | Avg Conceded | 19.6pts |
| -12.4pts | Avg Margin | 0.4pts |
| 1422.8m | Run Metres | 1671.0m |
| 4.4 | Line Breaks | 4.6 |
| 352.0 | Tackles | 336.0 |
| 8.4 | Errors | 6.8 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Rabbitohs | 2W–3L | 15.2 |
| Warriors | 2W–3L | 20.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r25-rabbitohs-v-warriors
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-08-17 14:50 UTC (latest tip update)