# Knights v Sea Eagles — NRL Round 25 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Knights v Sea Eagles?

Alphr's NRL model rates Knights a narrow 50% favourite over Sea Eagles in Round 25 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Sea Eagles are stronger on paper, but Forward Pack and Halves Control tip the model to Knights.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Knights v Sea Eagles
Sat, 22 Aug, 03:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 25

### Match Overview

Line ball between Knights and Sea Eagles. The model can't split them, landing on Knights at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Sea Eagles sit 238 ELO points clear, 1535 to 1297. Form leans Sea Eagles's way: 3 from their last 5, against 0 for Knights.

On paper Sea Eagles shade it, ahead on 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Halves Control. The model still sides with Knights, which says Forward Pack carry the most weight. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Sea Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 12.6pts | Avg Score | 29.2pts |
| 36.4pts | Avg Conceded | 20.0pts |
| -23.8pts | Avg Margin | 9.2pts |
| 1498.2m | Run Metres | 1693.8m |
| 3.8 | Line Breaks | 4.6 |
| 383.6 | Tackles | 327.4 |
| 13.0 | Errors | 12.6 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | 0W–5L | 12.6 |
| Sea Eagles | 3W–2L | 29.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-17 14:53 UTC (latest tip update)