# Warriors v Panthers — NRL Round 23 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Warriors v Panthers
Fri, 07 Aug, 06:00 pm AEST · Go Media Stadium · Round 23

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.53 (edge -7.1%) — model probability 55.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 2 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warriors | Stat | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 24.8pts | Avg Score | 25.2pts |
| 13.6pts | Avg Conceded | 18.0pts |
| 11.2pts | Avg Margin | 7.2pts |
| 1848.2m | Run Metres | 1730.4m |
| 7.2 | Line Breaks | 5.4 |
| 347.0 | Tackles | 375.4 |
| 12.2 | Errors | 11.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | R17 L · R19 W · R20 W · R21 L · R22 W | 24.8 |
| Panthers | R17 L · R18 W · R20 L · R21 W · R22 W | 25.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-07 09:56 UTC (latest tip update)