# Roosters v Bulldogs — NRL Round 23 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Roosters v Bulldogs
Fri, 07 Aug, 08:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 23

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.33 (edge +2.3%) — model probability 73.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 11 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Roosters | Stat | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 34.2pts | Avg Score | 26.4pts |
| 14.0pts | Avg Conceded | 16.0pts |
| 20.2pts | Avg Margin | 10.4pts |
| 1810.2m | Run Metres | 1695.2m |
| 5.6 | Line Breaks | 6.0 |
| 321.2 | Tackles | 336.2 |
| 11.8 | Errors | 12.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Roosters | R17 W · R19 W · R20 W · R21 W · R22 W | 34.2 |
| Bulldogs | R17 W · R19 L · R20 W · R21 W · R22 W | 26.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-07 11:56 UTC (latest tip update)