# Raiders v Knights — NRL Round 23 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Raiders v Knights
Sun, 09 Aug, 02:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 23

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.84 (edge +2.4%) — model probability 54.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 1 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 34.4pts | Avg Score | 21.4pts |
| 21.6pts | Avg Conceded | 17.4pts |
| 12.8pts | Avg Margin | 4.0pts |
| 1690.0m | Run Metres | 1691.0m |
| 4.4 | Line Breaks | 5.0 |
| 328.8 | Tackles | 362.2 |
| 10.2 | Errors | 12.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | R17 W · R19 W · R20 W · R21 W · R22 L | 34.4 |
| Knights | R18 W · R19 L · R20 L · R21 L · R22 W | 21.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-08-09 05:56 UTC (latest tip update)