# Dolphins v Broncos — NRL Round 23 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dolphins v Broncos
Sat, 08 Aug, 05:30 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 23

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.42 (edge +2.6%) — model probability 69.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 9 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 20.4pts | Avg Score | 12.8pts |
| 28.2pts | Avg Conceded | 22.4pts |
| -7.8pts | Avg Margin | -9.6pts |
| 1697.0m | Run Metres | 1511.8m |
| 6.0 | Line Breaks | 3.2 |
| 378.2 | Tackles | 340.8 |
| 13.2 | Errors | 10.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | R17 W · R18 L · R19 L · R20 W · R22 W | 20.4 |
| Broncos | R17 L · R18 L · R20 W · R21 L · R22 L | 12.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-08 09:32 UTC (latest tip update)