# Panthers v Raiders — NRL Round 22 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Panthers v Raiders
Sat, 01 Aug, 05:30 pm AEST · Glen Willow Oval · Round 22

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.33 (edge -2.2%) — model probability 69.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 8 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Panthers | Stat | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 20.4pts | Avg Score | 34.8pts |
| 18.2pts | Avg Conceded | 21.6pts |
| 2.2pts | Avg Margin | 13.2pts |
| 1779.0m | Run Metres | 1657.0m |
| 4.0 | Line Breaks | 4.0 |
| 375.8 | Tackles | 328.6 |
| 13.4 | Errors | 10.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Panthers | R16 L · R17 L · R18 W · R20 L · R21 W | 20.4 |
| Raiders | R16 L · R17 W · R19 W · R20 W · R21 W | 34.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-08-01 09:22 UTC (latest tip update)