# Raiders v Wests Tigers — NRL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Raiders v Wests Tigers
Sat, 25 July, 03:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 21

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.22 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 73.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 12 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Wests Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 26.0pts | Avg Score | 8.8pts |
| 22.6pts | Avg Conceded | 27.2pts |
| 3.4pts | Avg Margin | -18.4pts |
| 1608.6m | Run Metres | 1613.0m |
| 2.8 | Line Breaks | 1.6 |
| 341.2 | Tackles | 351.0 |
| 11.2 | Errors | 12.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | R15 L · R16 L · R17 W · R19 W · R20 W | 26.0 |
| Wests Tigers | R16 L · R17 L · R18 L · R19 L · R20 L | 8.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 06:59 UTC (latest tip update)