# Raiders v Wests Tigers — NRL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Raiders v Wests Tigers?

Alphr's NRL model rates Raiders a narrow 50% favourite over Wests Tigers in Round 21 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Raiders lead on ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Raiders v Wests Tigers
Sat, 25 July, 03:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 21

### Match Overview

Line ball between Raiders and Wests Tigers. The model can't split them, landing on Raiders at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Raiders sit 292 ELO points clear, 1666 to 1375. Form leans Raiders's way — 5 from their last 5, against 1 for Wests Tigers.

Raiders own the matchup too, leading 6 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Wests Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 28.4pts | Avg Score | 16.2pts |
| 16.4pts | Avg Conceded | 21.2pts |
| 12.0pts | Avg Margin | -5.0pts |
| 1849.0m | Run Metres | 1762.4m |
| 6.6 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 357.2 | Tackles | 383.2 |
| 9.2 | Errors | 9.6 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 5W–0L | 28.4 |
| Wests Tigers | 1W–4L | 16.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-19 21:14 UTC (latest tip update)