# Rabbitohs v Storm — NRL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Rabbitohs v Storm?

Alphr's NRL model rates Rabbitohs a narrow 50% favourite over Storm in Round 21 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Rabbitohs lead on Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Rabbitohs v Storm
Fri, 24 July, 08:00 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 21

### Match Overview

Line ball between Rabbitohs and Storm. The model can't split them, landing on Rabbitohs at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Storm sit 232 ELO points clear, 1545 to 1313. Form leans Storm's way — 3 from their last 5, against 0 for Rabbitohs.

The factors split evenly, which is why the margin stays tight. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Rabbitohs | Stat | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 18.4pts | Avg Score | 23.8pts |
| 31.8pts | Avg Conceded | 22.4pts |
| -13.4pts | Avg Margin | 1.4pts |
| 1502.0m | Run Metres | 1791.0m |
| 4.8 | Line Breaks | 5.4 |
| 373.4 | Tackles | 355.2 |
| 9.6 | Errors | 11.0 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Rabbitohs | 0W–5L | 18.4 |
| Storm | 3W–2L | 23.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-19 21:12 UTC (latest tip update)