# Cowboys v Broncos — NRL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Cowboys v Broncos?

Alphr's NRL model rates Cowboys a narrow 50% favourite over Broncos in Round 21 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Cowboys lead on Backline Quality and Halves Control.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Cowboys v Broncos
Sat, 25 July, 07:35 pm AEST · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 21

### Match Overview

Line ball between Cowboys and Broncos. The model can't split them, landing on Cowboys at 50%.

Cowboys own the matchup too, leading 2 of 7 factors including Backline Quality and Halves Control. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Cowboys | Stat | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 18.0pts | Avg Score | 23.6pts |
| 29.4pts | Avg Conceded | 25.8pts |
| -11.4pts | Avg Margin | -2.2pts |
| 1656.0m | Run Metres | 1668.0m |
| 4.6 | Line Breaks | 4.4 |
| 361.0 | Tackles | 356.6 |
| 15.0 | Errors | 9.2 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 1W–4L | 18.0 |
| Broncos | 1W–4L | 23.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-cowboys-v-broncos
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-19 21:15 UTC (latest tip update)