# Bulldogs v Warriors — NRL Round 21 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Bulldogs v Warriors?

Alphr's NRL model rates Bulldogs a narrow 50% favourite over Warriors in Round 21 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Bulldogs lead on ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Referee Tendency.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Bulldogs v Warriors
Sat, 25 July, 05:30 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 21

### Match Overview

Line ball between Bulldogs and Warriors. The model can't split them, landing on Bulldogs at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Bulldogs sit 60 ELO points clear, 1566 to 1506.

Bulldogs own the matchup too, leading 4 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Referee Tendency. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Bulldogs | Stat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 16.0pts | Avg Score | 21.2pts |
| 14.8pts | Avg Conceded | 18.4pts |
| 1.2pts | Avg Margin | 2.8pts |
| 1831.2m | Run Metres | 1730.8m |
| 3.8 | Line Breaks | 5.4 |
| 366.2 | Tackles | 360.8 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 11.0 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | 3W–2L | 16.0 |
| Warriors | 3W–2L | 21.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-19 21:15 UTC (latest tip update)