# Warriors v Dragons — NRL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Warriors v Dragons
Sat, 18 July, 05:35 pm AEST · Go Media Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.18 (edge -5.3%) — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +14.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 13 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warriors | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 24.0pts | Avg Score | 20.4pts |
| 16.4pts | Avg Conceded | 23.2pts |
| 7.6pts | Avg Margin | -2.8pts |
| 1683.4m | Run Metres | 1693.8m |
| 6.6 | Line Breaks | 2.8 |
| 353.8 | Tackles | 363.0 |
| 12.2 | Errors | 13.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | R13 L · R15 L · R16 W · R17 L · R19 W | 24.0 |
| Dragons | R13 W · R14 L · R16 L · R17 L · R18 W | 20.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-18 09:27 UTC (latest tip update)