# Roosters v Storm — NRL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Roosters v Storm
Fri, 17 July, 08:00 pm AEST · Allianz Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.29 (edge -4.6%) — model probability 69.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +11.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 11 · Predicted total: 42

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Roosters | Stat | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 23.0pts | Avg Score | 23.6pts |
| 17.2pts | Avg Conceded | 20.4pts |
| 5.8pts | Avg Margin | 3.2pts |
| 1730.2m | Run Metres | 1737.0m |
| 4.6 | Line Breaks | 5.8 |
| 341.2 | Tackles | 321.6 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 8.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Roosters | R14 W · R15 L · R16 W · R17 W · R19 W | 23.0 |
| Storm | R13 W · R14 W · R16 W · R17 L · R19 W | 23.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-17 11:47 UTC (latest tip update)