# Raiders v Rabbitohs — NRL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Raiders v Rabbitohs?

Alphr's NRL model rates Raiders a narrow 50% favourite over Rabbitohs in Round 20 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Raiders lead on ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Raiders v Rabbitohs
Sat, 18 July, 03:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 20

### Match Overview

Line ball between Raiders and Rabbitohs. The model can't split them, landing on Raiders at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Raiders sit 304 ELO points clear, 1655 to 1351. Form leans Raiders's way — 5 from their last 5, against 1 for Rabbitohs.

Raiders own the matchup too, leading 6 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 25.6pts | Avg Score | 17.6pts |
| 18.0pts | Avg Conceded | 26.8pts |
| 7.6pts | Avg Margin | -9.2pts |
| 1805.8m | Run Metres | 1605.6m |
| 5.0 | Line Breaks | 4.4 |
| 353.6 | Tackles | 371.6 |
| 9.0 | Errors | 13.6 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 5W–0L | 25.6 |
| Rabbitohs | 1W–4L | 17.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-raiders-v-rabbitohs
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-12 12:38 UTC