# Raiders v Rabbitohs — NRL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Raiders v Rabbitohs
Sat, 18 July, 03:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.82 (edge +2.0%) — model probability 54.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 3 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 19.2pts | Avg Score | 26.8pts |
| 23.0pts | Avg Conceded | 21.2pts |
| -3.8pts | Avg Margin | 5.6pts |
| 1619.0m | Run Metres | 1685.0m |
| 2.2 | Line Breaks | 5.8 |
| 338.8 | Tackles | 316.6 |
| 12.2 | Errors | 11.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | R14 L · R15 L · R16 L · R17 W · R19 W | 19.2 |
| Rabbitohs | R14 L · R15 W · R17 W · R18 L · R19 W | 26.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-18 06:59 UTC (latest tip update)