# Dolphins v Cowboys — NRL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dolphins v Cowboys
Sun, 19 July, 04:05 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 20

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.62 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 56.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 6 · Predicted total: 42

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 24.4pts | Avg Score | 18.2pts |
| 27.0pts | Avg Conceded | 26.8pts |
| -2.6pts | Avg Margin | -8.6pts |
| 1721.4m | Run Metres | 1620.8m |
| 5.8 | Line Breaks | 4.6 |
| 379.4 | Tackles | 342.8 |
| 12.4 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | R15 W · R16 W · R17 W · R18 L · R19 L | 24.4 |
| Cowboys | R13 L · R14 L · R16 L · R17 W · R19 W | 18.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-19 08:02 UTC (latest tip update)