# Dolphins v Cowboys — NRL Round 20 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Dolphins v Cowboys?

Alphr's NRL model rates Dolphins a narrow 50% favourite over Cowboys in Round 20 — effectively a coin-flip. **Confidence: Low.** Dolphins lead on ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control.

_Alphr NRL Model v1.0 · 61.5% head-to-head accuracy across 213 verified 2025 predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Dolphins v Cowboys
Sun, 19 July, 04:05 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 20

### Match Overview

Line ball between Dolphins and Cowboys. The model can't split them, landing on Dolphins at 50%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Dolphins sit 162 ELO points clear, 1551 to 1389. Form leans Dolphins's way — 3 from their last 5, against 1 for Cowboys.

Dolphins own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control. Coin-flip on the win, so the value is where this one gets settled.

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 39.2pts | Avg Score | 14.0pts |
| 17.6pts | Avg Conceded | 32.4pts |
| 21.6pts | Avg Margin | -18.4pts |
| 2011.8m | Run Metres | 1598.0m |
| 7.0 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 326.2 | Tackles | 364.0 |
| 9.0 | Errors | 14.8 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 3W–2L | 39.2 |
| Cowboys | 1W–4L | 14.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r20-dolphins-v-cowboys
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-07-12 12:40 UTC