# Dolphins v Sharks — NRL Round 19 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dolphins v Sharks
Sat, 11 July, 03:00 pm AEST · Kayo Stadium · Round 19

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.56 (edge +2.1%) — model probability 63.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 9 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 32.4pts | Avg Score | 21.6pts |
| 16.6pts | Avg Conceded | 17.0pts |
| 15.8pts | Avg Margin | 4.6pts |
| 1885.4m | Run Metres | 1653.4m |
| 6.8 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 361.6 | Tackles | 363.2 |
| 11.4 | Errors | 10.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | R14 W · R15 W · R16 W · R17 W · R18 L | 32.4 |
| Sharks | R13 W · R14 W · R15 W · R16 L · R18 W | 21.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-11 06:54 UTC (latest tip update)