# Bulldogs v Raiders — NRL Round 19 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Bulldogs v Raiders
Sat, 11 July, 05:30 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 19

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.58 (edge +15.1%) — model probability 75.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 6 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Bulldogs | Stat | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 20.6pts | Avg Score | 16.4pts |
| 15.6pts | Avg Conceded | 22.2pts |
| 5.0pts | Avg Margin | -5.8pts |
| 1896.8m | Run Metres | 1705.6m |
| 6.0 | Line Breaks | 3.0 |
| 352.8 | Tackles | 342.2 |
| 10.6 | Errors | 12.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | R12 W · R13 L · R14 W · R16 W · R17 W | 20.6 |
| Raiders | R13 W · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L · R17 W | 16.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-11 09:31 UTC (latest tip update)