# Knights v Dolphins — NRL Round 18 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Knights v Dolphins
Sun, 05 July, 04:05 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.96 (edge +5.7%) — model probability 54.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 0 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 25.6pts | Avg Score | 36.0pts |
| 18.4pts | Avg Conceded | 18.4pts |
| 7.2pts | Avg Margin | 17.6pts |
| 1763.6m | Run Metres | 1903.0m |
| 6.0 | Line Breaks | 7.6 |
| 361.6 | Tackles | 351.0 |
| 12.4 | Errors | 11.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | R11 W · R13 W · R14 L · R16 W · R17 W | 25.6 |
| Dolphins | R12 W · R14 W · R15 W · R16 W · R17 W | 36.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r18-knights-v-dolphins
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 07:54 UTC (latest tip update)