# Eels v Sea Eagles — NRL Round 18 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Eels v Sea Eagles
Sun, 05 July, 02:00 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.37 (edge +30.0%) — model probability 69.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 9 · Predicted total: 48

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Eels | Stat | Sea Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 13.8pts | Avg Score | 20.8pts |
| 24.0pts | Avg Conceded | 13.8pts |
| -10.2pts | Avg Margin | 7.0pts |
| 1590.2m | Run Metres | 1661.2m |
| 3.8 | Line Breaks | 4.8 |
| 334.6 | Tackles | 324.2 |
| 14.4 | Errors | 10.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Eels | R11 L · R13 L · R14 L · R15 W · R17 L | 13.8 |
| Sea Eagles | R12 W · R13 L · R14 W · R16 L · R17 W | 20.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-05 05:54 UTC (latest tip update)