# Raiders v Dragons — NRL Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Raiders v Dragons
Sun, 28 June, 02:00 pm AEST · GIO Stadium · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.34 (edge +6.0%) — model probability 77.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Raiders 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 13 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Raiders | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 16.0pts | Avg Score | 16.0pts |
| 25.0pts | Avg Conceded | 28.0pts |
| -9.0pts | Avg Margin | -12.0pts |
| 1604.0m | Run Metres | 1708.4m |
| 3.4 | Line Breaks | 2.4 |
| 346.0 | Tackles | 374.4 |
| 11.8 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders | R12 L · R13 W · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L | 16.0 |
| Dragons | R11 L · R12 L · R13 W · R14 L · R16 L | 16.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r17-raiders-v-dragons
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-28 05:52 UTC (latest tip update)