# Knights v Wests Tigers — NRL Round 17 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Knights v Wests Tigers
Sun, 28 June, 04:05 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.47 (edge +1.5%) — model probability 66.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights -6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Knights 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Knights by 8 · Predicted total: 48

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Wests Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 32.0pts | Avg Score | 19.6pts |
| 19.2pts | Avg Conceded | 38.8pts |
| 12.8pts | Avg Margin | -19.2pts |
| 1833.2m | Run Metres | 1488.4m |
| 7.8 | Line Breaks | 3.0 |
| 344.6 | Tackles | 379.2 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 10.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | R10 W · R11 W · R13 W · R14 L · R16 W | 32.0 |
| Wests Tigers | R11 L · R13 W · R14 L · R15 W · R16 L | 19.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-28 07:54 UTC (latest tip update)