# Warriors v Cowboys — NRL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Warriors v Cowboys
Sun, 21 June, 02:00 pm AEST · One NZ Stadium · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.37 (edge +1.1%) — model probability 70.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 13 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warriors | Stat | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 26.8pts | Avg Score | 20.8pts |
| 13.6pts | Avg Conceded | 25.8pts |
| 13.2pts | Avg Margin | -5.0pts |
| 1812.0m | Run Metres | 2011.0m |
| 8.0 | Line Breaks | 9.0 |
| 332.0 | Tackles | 373.0 |
| 9.0 | Errors | 18.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | R9 W · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L · R15 L | 26.8 |
| Cowboys | R10 L · R11 W · R12 W · R13 L · R14 L | 20.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-21 05:57 UTC (latest tip update)